Riferimento: Skeptical Science |
Riferimento: Skeptical Science |
Percentuali dei valori netti dei contributi umani e naturali ricavati dalle osservazioni del riscaldamento della superficie terrestre effettuate nel corso degli ultimi 50-65 anni secondo: Tett et al. 2000 (T00, blue scuro), Meehl et al. 2004 (M04, rosso), Stone et al. 2007 (S07, verde), Lean and Rind 2008 (LR08, rosa), Huber and Knutti 2011 (HK11, azzurro), Gillett et al. 2012 (G12, arancione), Wigley and Santer 2012 (WS12, verde scuro), and Jones et al. 2013 (J12, rosa). |
Summary of the opinions from climate / earth scientists regarding climate change. The Doran & Zimmerman study was done for a master's thesis and involved a 9-question survey. The 2009 peer reviewed publication that followed the study reported on 2 of the 9 questions. The study found, in part, that 96.4% of "climatologists who are active publishers on climate change" agree that mean global temperatures have risen "compared with pre-1800s levels", and that 97.4% (75 of 77) agree that human activity "is a significant contributing factor" in temperature change. The study concludes the distribution of answers to those survey questions implies that debate on the "role played by human activity is largely nonexistent" amongst climate experts. The 97.4% result reflects the opinions of 77 individuals selected out of a total of 3,146 self-selected respondents based on a total population of 10,257 individuals who were invited to participate in the survey. Doran & Zimmerman 2009 source: http://tigger.uic.edu/~pdoran/012009_Doran_final.pdf The Anderegg et al 2010 source defined a scientist's expertise as determined by his or her number of climate publications. The top 50 scientists considered CE ("convinced by the evidence" in the terminology of the authors) wrote an average of 408 articles each which were submitted to and successfully published by climate journals. Scientists were counted as UE ("unconvinced by the evidence") if having signed a public "statement strongly dissenting from the views of the IPCC." That resulted in a list of 472 UE scientists, of whom 5 were among the 200 most-published scientists in the study's sample, amounting to 2.5% when the other 195 (97.5%) were counted as CE. That study's sample included 903 scientists counted as CE ("convinced by the evidence"). Scientists were assumed to be CE when in the list of those credited by the IPCC as having done research utilized by AR4 Working Group I. Such an assumption resulted in a list of 619 names, which, after adjusting for duplication, became a total of 903 when also adding in those who signed one of several statements supporting the IPCC. The results presented in this study are based on a compiled researcher list which the authors describe as being "not comprehensive nor designed to be representative of the entire climate science community." Anderegg 2010 source: http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2010/06/04/1003187107.full.pdf http://www.pnas.org/content/suppl/2010/06/07/1003187107.DCSupplemental/pnas.201003187SI.pdf. Riferimneto: Climate Science Opinion |
Climate Graphics Consensus |
Due studi, 1 e 2, realizzati da parte del gruppo scientifico di Skeptical Science "Skeptical Science Study Finds 97% Consensus on Human-Caused Global Warming in the Peer-Reviewed Literature", pubblicato su Environmental Research Letters, "Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature", effettuati analizzando oltre 12.000 riviste scientifiche peer-reviewed di climatologia e 14.000 abstracts, hanno rilevato un consenso del 97% tra gli autori delle pubblicazioni sul Riscaldamento Globale di natura antropica. Un gruppo di volontari di Skeptical Science ha classificato gli abstracts, l'indagine realizzata é stata fino ad oggi la più completa nel suo genere. Ogni lavoro è stato valutato in modo indipendente per almeno due volte, l'identità del revisore era sconosciuta. Il progetto non é stato fiananziato, tutto il lavoro è stato eseguito su base puramente volontaria. I volontari erano composti da un gruppo diversificato a livello internazionale. I Paesi d'origine dei membri del gruppo di studio hanno incluso, Australia, Stati Uniti, Canada, Regno Unito, Nuova Zelanda, Germania, Finlandia e Italia. Elenco Internazionale degli Istituti Scientifici che confermano la natura antropica del Riscaldamento Globale:
List of Worldwide Scientific Organizations
(Scientific Organizations That Hold the Position That Climate Change Has Been Caused by Human Action)- Academia Chilena de Ciencias, Chile
- Academia das Ciencias de Lisboa, Portugal
- Academia de Ciencias de la República Dominicana
- Academia de Ciencias Físicas, Matemáticas y Naturales de Venezuela
- Academia de Ciencias Medicas, Fisicas y Naturales de Guatemala
- Academia Mexicana de Ciencias,Mexico
- Academia Nacional de Ciencias de Bolivia
- Academia Nacional de Ciencias del Peru
- Académie des Sciences et Techniques du Sénégal
- Académie des Sciences, France
- Academies of Arts, Humanities and Sciences of Canada
- Academy of Athens
- Academy of Science of Mozambique
- Academy of Science of South Africa
- Academy of Sciences for the Developing World (TWAS)
- Academy of Sciences Malaysia
- Academy of Sciences of Moldova
- Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
- Academy of Sciences of the Islamic Republic of Iran
- Academy of Scientific Research and Technology, Egypt
- Academy of the Royal Society of New Zealand
- Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei, Italy
- Africa Centre for Climate and Earth Systems Science
- African Academy of Sciences
- Albanian Academy of Sciences
- Amazon Environmental Research Institute
- American Academy of Pediatrics
- American Anthropological Association
- American Association for the Advancement of Science
- American Association of State Climatologists (AASC)
- American Association of Wildlife Veterinarians
- American Astronomical Society
- American Chemical Society
- American College of Preventive Medicine
- American Fisheries Society
- American Geophysical Union
- American Institute of Biological Sciences
- American Institute of Physics
- American Meteorological Society
- American Physical Society
- American Public Health Association
- American Quaternary Association
- American Society for Microbiology
- American Society of Agronomy
- American Society of Civil Engineers
- American Society of Plant Biologists
- American Statistical Association
- Association of Ecosystem Research Centers
- Australian Academy of Science
- Australian Bureau of Meteorology
- Australian Coral Reef Society
- Australian Institute of Marine Science
- Australian Institute of Physics
- Australian Marine Sciences Association
- Australian Medical Association
- Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
- Bangladesh Academy of Sciences
- Botanical Society of America
- Brazilian Academy of Sciences
- British Antarctic Survey
- Bulgarian Academy of Sciences
- California Academy of Sciences
- Cameroon Academy of Sciences
- Canadian Association of Physicists
- Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
- Canadian Geophysical Union
- Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
- Canadian Society of Soil Science
- Canadian Society of Zoologists
- Caribbean Academy of Sciences views
- Center for International Forestry Research
- Chinese Academy of Sciences
- Colombian Academy of Exact, Physical and Natural Sciences
- Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) (Australia)
- Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research
- Croatian Academy of Arts and Sciences
- Crop Science Society of America
- Cuban Academy of Sciences
- Delegation of the Finnish Academies of Science and Letters
- Ecological Society of America
- Ecological Society of Australia
- Environmental Protection Agency
- European Academy of Sciences and Arts
- European Federation of Geologists
- European Geosciences Union
- European Physical Society
- European Science Foundation
- Federation of American Scientists
- French Academy of Sciences
- Geological Society of America
- Geological Society of Australia
- Geological Society of London
- Georgian Academy of Sciences
- German Academy of Natural Scientists Leopoldina
- Ghana Academy of Arts and Sciences
- Indian National Science Academy
- Indonesian Academy of Sciences
- Institute of Ecology and Environmental Management
- Institute of Marine Engineering, Science and Technology
- Institute of Professional Engineers New Zealand
- Institution of Mechanical Engineers, UK
- InterAcademy Council
- International Alliance of Research Universities
- International Arctic Science Committee
- International Association for Great Lakes Research
- International Council for Science
- International Council of Academies of Engineering and Technological Sciences
- International Research Institute for Climate and Society
- International Union for Quaternary Research
- International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
- International Union of Pure and Applied Physics
- Islamic World Academy of Sciences
- Israel Academy of Sciences and Humanities
- Kenya National Academy of Sciences
- Korean Academy of Science and Technology
- Kosovo Academy of Sciences and Arts
- l'Académie des Sciences et Techniques du Sénégal
- Latin American Academy of Sciences
- Latvian Academy of Sciences
- Lithuanian Academy of Sciences
- Madagascar National Academy of Arts, Letters, and Sciences
- Mauritius Academy of Science and Technology
- Montenegrin Academy of Sciences and Arts
- National Academy of Exact, Physical and Natural Sciences, Argentina
- National Academy of Sciences of Armenia
- National Academy of Sciences of the Kyrgyz Republic
- National Academy of Sciences, Sri Lanka
- National Academy of Sciences, United States of America
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration
- National Association of Geoscience Teachers
- National Association of State Foresters
- National Center for Atmospheric Research
- National Council of Engineers Australia
- National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research, New Zealand
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- National Research Council
- National Science Foundation
- Natural England
- Natural Environment Research Council, UK
- Natural Science Collections Alliance
- Network of African Science Academies
- New York Academy of Sciences
- Nicaraguan Academy of Sciences
- Nigerian Academy of Sciences
- Norwegian Academy of Sciences and Letters
- Oklahoma Climatological Survey
- Organization of Biological Field Stations
- Pakistan Academy of Sciences
- Palestine Academy for Science and Technology
- Pew Center on Global Climate Change
- Polish Academy of Sciences
- Romanian Academy
- Royal Academies for Science and the Arts of Belgium
- Royal Academy of Exact, Physical and Natural Sciences of Spain
- Royal Astronomical Society, UK
- Royal Danish Academy of Sciences and Letters
- Royal Irish Academy
- Royal Meteorological Society (UK)
- Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences
- Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research
- Royal Scientific Society of Jordan
- Royal Society of Canada
- Royal Society of Chemistry, UK
- Royal Society of the United Kingdom
- Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
- Russian Academy of Sciences
- Science and Technology, Australia
- Science Council of Japan
- Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research
- Scientific Committee on Solar-Terrestrial Physics
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography
- Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts
- Slovak Academy of Sciences
- Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts
- Society for Ecological Restoration International
- Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
- Society of American Foresters
- Society of Biology (UK)
- Society of Biology, UK
- Society of Systematic Biologists
- Soil Science Society of America
- Sudan Academy of Sciences
- Sudanese National Academy of Science
- Tanzania Academy of Sciences
- The Wildlife Society (international)
- Turkish Academy of Sciences
- Uganda National Academy of Sciences
- Union of German Academies of Sciences and Humanities
- United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
- University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
- World Association of Zoos and Aquariums
- World Federation of Public Health Associations
- World Forestry Congress
- World Health Organization
- World Meteorological Organization
- Zambia Academy of Sciences
- Zimbabwe Academy of Sciences
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